by mguhlin

The Path to #AI Job Displacement

AI

AI hasn’t taken the junior-level jobs directly. Instead, what’s really happening is that mid-level employees have become dramatically more productive by eliminating mundane, repetitive, or tedious tasks. 

Via Lester Mapp

Lester did a great job explaining this. His post reminds me of the report about AI improvements on this timeline:

• 2026: Full power
• 2027: 2-3 day capabilities
• 2028: Full 40-hour work week
• 2029: 4x typing speed
• 2031: Full 50-hour work week

AI costs dropping 20% annually
NVIDIA predicts 99% cost reduction in coming years (citation coming)

AI gets better at doing work, while the cost of AI drops dramatically. Could these predictions be true?